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Neches basin · East Texas · East Texas
TWDB reading Sep 7, 2026
USGS 08039300 — Sam Rayburn Res nr Jasper, TX
Extrapolated from the past 60 days
Falling roughly 2,727 acre-feet per day. At that rate the conservation pool would be exhausted in about 705 days.
A straight-line extrapolation, not a forecast. It assumes the recent rate continues unchanged, ignoring seasonality, rainfall and managed releases — and drawdown normally slows as a reservoir falls. Treat it as a severity signal, not a date.
US Drought Monitor for Jasper County, Sep 1, 2026
Conditions in the county containing the dam. A reservoir is filled by a watershed that often reaches well beyond one county, and releases are managed, so local drought is context rather than an explanation of the level.
Nearest gaged reaches above and below the dam
How today compares with 61 years of record for this date
At 67%, Sam Rayburn Reservoir is near its lowest on record for this date — below 90% of all years since 1965. It was last this low in 2011.
Percentiles pool the ±3 days around today across every year on record, so “normal” means normal for this time of year. Conservation capacity is re-surveyed over time, so percent-full comparisons across decades are close but not exact.
Daily TWDB observations, with the normal range for each date
Normal range for the date (25th–75th percentile)Median year
Past 7 days, typically 15-minute readings. USGS elevations use a published datum that may differ slightly from the TWDB daily value above.
Inflow minus release at the two gages above. This is not a closed water balance — ungaged tributaries, rain on the lake, evaporation, and direct withdrawals are not measured here, so it will not reconcile exactly with the day-to-day storage change.
CoCoRaHS observers within 60 km of the dam
Rain measured near the dam, not across the watershed. A reservoir is fed by a catchment that can reach hundreds of kilometres upstream, so heavy local rain does not necessarily mean inflow — and a rising lake often reflects rain far from here. Readings are volunteer observations taken once each morning.